Track record · closed signal

Bank of America Corporation (BAC) — closed signal from January 3, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 3, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

BAC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$55.95 Published $61.55 Target $49.38 Window close $57.55 Peak
$54.50 – $56.25Entry zone — fair-value band
$55.95Published — price the day we called it
$61.55Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$57.55Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$49.38Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 29% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$57.55
peak on January 5, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+2.9%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$49.38
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
January 3, 2026 – April 3, 2026

The thesis — published January 3, 2026

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$61.55
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$54.50 – $56.25
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$55.95
published January 3, 2026
Confidence
68%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Bank of America is being held as a short-term leader in the financial sector where how the price moves and how much buying is happening matter more than a big change in valuation. Analysts see steady buying and trend support, even though some timing signals lag. The news driving interest is broad market positioning for 2026, not a company-specific announcement, so the trade leans toward cautious entries on small dips.

Primary drivers

  • Money is shifting into banks early in 2026, helping the sector
  • Current price trend and participation suggest the move can continue
  • Big-company trading is liquid, so sudden price gaps are less likely
  • Overall economic story supports slowly adding shares here

How it played out

BAC: the target was not reached

Lyra published BAC on January 3, 2026 at 55.95, with a short-term expectation of 10% growth. The thesis pointed to money shifting into banks early in 2026, trend support, active participation, liquid large-company trading, and a broad economic story that supported slowly adding shares.

Inside the window from January 3, 2026 to April 3, 2026, BAC peaked at 57.55 on January 5. That was a 2.9% peak gain, but it stayed below the 61.55 target. It ended at 49.38. The thesis partly caught a small early move, but the full target did not play out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.