Track record · closed signal

IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) — closed signal from January 2, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 2, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

IAG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$16.36 Published $19.30 Target $19.09 Window close $24.87 Peak
$16.00 – $16.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$16.36Published — price the day we called it
$19.30Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$24.87Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$19.09Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 18 days.

Peak price
$24.87
peak on March 2, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+52%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$19.09
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
18
Window
January 2, 2026 – April 2, 2026

The thesis — published January 2, 2026

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$19.30
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$16.00 – $16.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$16.36
published January 2, 2026
Confidence
65%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

IAMGOLD has recent company-specific news that could lift the stock short term. The firm finished two acquisitions that form a new mining complex and a big investor has been buying, which supports the stock. Gold prices still matter a lot, so the idea is buy near the lower price range and avoid chasing higher prices because miners can swing quickly.

Primary drivers

  • Two acquisitions (Dec 29, 2025) add mining reserves and growth potential
  • Ongoing interest in gold miners helps keep buyers focused on the stock
  • A large investor increasing holdings gives extra buying support
  • Gold price moves can make the stock jump up or down fast

How it played out

IAG: target reached in 18 days

Lyra published IAG at 16.36 on January 2, 2026, with 18% expected growth. The thesis pointed to two acquisitions from December 29, 2025, added reserves and growth potential, interest in gold miners, a large investor increasing holdings, and the risk that gold price moves could swing the stock fast.

Inside the window, IAG reached the 19.30 target in 18 days. It later peaked at 24.87 on March 2, 2026, with a 52% peak gain. By April 2, 2026, it ended at 19.09. The target was reached, and the thesis played out.

What happened during the window

IAMGOLD reported preliminary 2025 results on January 19, 2026, according to Investor's Business Daily. The report said IAMGOLD had reached the midpoint of its 2025 production forecast. This was reported during the measurement window, but it was not proof of why the stock moved.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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