Track record · closed signal

Pfizer Inc. (PFE) — closed signal from January 1, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 1, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

PFE price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$24.90 Published $27.89 Target $28.55 Window close $28.64 Peak
$24.20 – $25.20Entry zone — fair-value band
$24.90Published — price the day we called it
$27.89Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$28.64Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$28.55Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 41 days.

Peak price
$28.64
peak on April 1, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+15%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$28.55
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
41
Window
January 1, 2026 – April 1, 2026

The thesis — published January 1, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$27.89
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$24.20 – $25.20
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$24.90
published January 1, 2026
Confidence
68%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Pfizer looks like it's bouncing after a sharp selloff, and its dividend and recent headlines about modest price increases could make some buyers return. The stock is very oversold, so a short-term recovery is possible, but underlying trend remains weak and the rally might not hold. Treat this as a short-term, tight-risk trade over the next 0-3 months.

Primary drivers

  • Very oversold can create quick bounce opportunities
  • Dividend focus can draw safety-oriented buyers
  • Small price hikes can improve investor mood short-term
  • Recovery relies on improving buying momentum, not value change

How it played out

PFE: target reached in 41 days

Lyra published PFE at $24.90 on 2026-01-01, with a short-term window through 2026-04-01. The thesis expected 12% growth. It pointed to an oversold setup after a sharp selloff, dividend-focused buyers, modest price increases, and the need for better buying momentum.

Inside the window, PFE reached the $27.89 target in 41 days. The stock peaked at $28.64 on 2026-04-01, with a 15% peak gain. It ended at $28.55. The published bounce thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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