Track record · closed signal

IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) — closed signal from January 1, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 1, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

IAG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$16.49 Published $18.96 Target $19.68 Window close $24.87 Peak
$16.00 – $16.80Entry zone — fair-value band
$16.49Published — price the day we called it
$18.96Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$24.87Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$19.68Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 19 days.

Peak price
$24.87
peak on March 2, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+50.8%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$19.68
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
19
Window
January 1, 2026 – April 1, 2026

The thesis — published January 1, 2026

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$18.96
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$16.00 – $16.80
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$16.49
published January 1, 2026
Confidence
82%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Recent company news shows two acquisitions creating the Nelligan Mining Complex and a big investor buying shares, which gives a clear reason for traders to pay attention. The stock looks very oversold, improving the chance of a short-term bounce, but the overall short-term trend is still weak so wait for signs of stabilization and size positions carefully.

Primary drivers

  • Acquisitions tell a clearer growth story for the company
  • Strong gold market mood helps miners rally with peers
  • Very oversold conditions increase chance of a short rebound
  • Bigger scale from deals may draw more institutional buyers

How it played out

IAG: target reached in 19 days

Lyra published IAG at 16.49 on 2026-01-01 with a short-term thesis for 15% growth. The thesis pointed to acquisitions creating the Nelligan Mining Complex, a big investor buying shares, strong gold market mood, very oversold conditions, and possible institutional interest from bigger scale.

Inside the 2026-01-01 to 2026-04-01 window, the stock reached the 18.96 target in 19 days. It later peaked at 24.87 on 2026-03-02, a 50.8% gain. It ended the window at 19.68, still above the target. The published thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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