IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) — closed signal from December 31, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 31, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 20 days.
The thesis — published December 31, 2025
IAMGOLD is a company whose share price often moves with gold. Recent signals show the stock pulled back more than usual and some shorter-term measures are turning positive, though a key momentum reading is still cautious. The firm just closed a big mine acquisition and a large investor added shares, which together increase the chance of a staged recovery.
Primary drivers
- Completed Nelligan mining deal strengthens growth story
- Large investor bought 2.6M shares, showing demand
- Price is unusually low, opening a reversion window
- Gold's direction remains the main short-term force
How it played out
IAG: target reached in 20 days
Lyra published IAG at $16.73 on 2025-12-31 with a short-term thesis for 18% growth. The thesis pointed to a recent pullback, improving short-term measures, a cautious momentum reading, the completed Nelligan mining deal, a large investor buying 2.6M shares, and gold's direction as the main short-term force.
Inside the window, IAG reached the $19.74 target in 20 days. It kept rising to a $24.87 peak on 2026-03-02, a 48.7% gain. By 2026-03-31, it ended at $18.82. The thesis played out.
What happened during the window
On Jan. 19, Iamgold reported preliminary 2025 production of 765,900 ounces and preliminary annual sales of 817,800 ounces. The same report said fourth-quarter gold sales were 259,000 ounces.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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