Track record · closed signal

Range Resources Corporation (RRC) — closed signal from December 30, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 30, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

RRC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$36.57 Published $40.96 Target $46.21 Window close $48.31 Peak
$34.50 – $37.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$36.57Published — price the day we called it
$40.96Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$48.31Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$46.21Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 59 days.

Peak price
$48.31
peak on March 27, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+32.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$46.21
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
59
Window
December 30, 2025 – March 30, 2026

The thesis — published December 30, 2025

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$40.96
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$34.50 – $37.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$36.57
published December 30, 2025
Confidence
60%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Range Resources gives exposure to natural gas plus steady cash returns through dividends and buybacks. Buying interest from big investors supports the stock, but a major bank cut its rating and lowered targets, which shows the stock can fall if energy prices slide. In the short term, buy only on pullbacks that hold and be ready to sell if gas news turns negative.

Primary drivers

  • Dividends and buybacks help returns when markets wobble
  • Large investor buying can keep the stock supported nearby
  • A major bank downgrade shows the stock is sensitive to value and prices
  • Short-term performance will follow swings in natural gas prices

How it played out

RRC: target reached in 59 days

Lyra published RRC at $36.57 on 2025-12-30 with a short-term view for 12% growth toward $40.96. The thesis pointed to natural gas exposure, dividends and buybacks, large investor buying, a bank downgrade, and sensitivity to natural gas price swings.

Inside the window from 2025-12-30 to 2026-03-30, the stock reached the target in 59 days. It peaked at $48.31 on 2026-03-27, with a 32.1% peak gain. It ended at $46.21. The thesis played out, and the move went beyond the published target.

What happened during the window

On 2026-02-24, Range Resources reported a 31% revenue increase to $820.2 million and EPS of $0.82, according to Investor's Business Daily. On 2026-03-12, Investor's Business Daily reported that RRC had cleared a $40.88 buy point on 2026-02-27.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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