Track record · closed signal

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) — closed signal from December 29, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 29, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

JNJ price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$208.54 Published $229.39 Target $240.45 Window close $251.71 Peak
$205.00 – $210.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$208.54Published — price the day we called it
$229.39Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$251.71Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$240.45Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 31 days.

Peak price
$251.71
peak on March 2, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+20.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$240.45
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
31
Window
December 29, 2025 – March 29, 2026

The thesis — published December 29, 2025

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$229.39
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$205.00 – $210.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$208.54
published December 29, 2025
Confidence
73%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Johnson & Johnson is a defensive healthcare company that just agreed to buy Halda Therapeutics for $3.05 billion. The deal shows they are still building new products, which makes the stock a steadier choice in a weak market. The trade is about reducing risk and possibly getting a modest rebound after a period of selling, not chasing fast growth.

Primary drivers

  • Halda deal gives a clear, near-term business story
  • Healthcare status makes it relatively stable in weak markets
  • Big, varied sales lower risk from one product failing
  • Historically small swings help protect overall portfolios

How it played out

JNJ: target reached in 31 days

Lyra published JNJ at $208.54 on 2025-12-29, with 10% expected growth over a short-term window. The thesis pointed to Johnson & Johnson as a defensive healthcare company, the Halda Therapeutics deal for $3.05 billion, broad sales, steadier trading, and a possible modest rebound after selling.

Inside the window, the stock reached the $229.39 target in 31 days. It kept rising to a peak of $251.71 on 2026-03-02, a 20.7% gain. By 2026-03-29, it ended at $240.45, still above the target. The thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.