Track record · closed signal

UP Fintech Holding Limited (TIGR) — closed signal from December 28, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 28, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

TIGR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$9.07 Published $10.88 Target $6.07 Window close $11.35 Peak
$8.80 – $9.20Entry zone — fair-value band
$9.07Published — price the day we called it
$10.88Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$11.35Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$6.07Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 8 days.

Peak price
$11.35
peak on January 6, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+25.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$6.07
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
8
Window
December 28, 2025 – March 28, 2026

The thesis — published December 28, 2025

Predicted growth
+20%
over the measurement window
Target price
$10.88
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$8.80 – $9.20
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$9.07
published December 28, 2025
Confidence
66%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Company reported much faster growth recently: sales rose 73.3% compared to last year and adjusted earnings per share were $0.31. That shows the business is gaining real traction, but outside analysts disagree on the stock's value. Treat this as a short-term trading opportunity rather than a long-term core holding.

Primary drivers

  • Sales jumped 73.3% and adjusted EPS was $0.31, showing clear growth
  • Broker profits can expand quickly as trading volumes and accounts grow
  • Positive sentiment can pull more traders and short-term buyers into the stock
  • Divergent analyst ratings raise the chance of big price swings; manage risk

How it played out

TIGR: target reached in 8 days

Lyra published TIGR at $9.07 on December 28, 2025, with a short-term expectation of 20% growth. The thesis pointed to sales growth of 73.3%, adjusted earnings per share of $0.31, room for broker profits to expand with trading volumes and accounts, positive sentiment, and divergent analyst ratings that could make the stock swing.

Inside the window, TIGR reached the $10.88 target. It peaked at $11.35 on January 6, 2026, up 25.1%, and got there in 8 days. By March 28, 2026, it ended at $6.07. The thesis played out on the target, then the gain did not hold.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.