Track record · closed signal

Pfizer Inc. (PFE) — closed signal from December 28, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 28, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

PFE price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$25.09 Published $27.60 Target $27.04 Window close $27.94 Peak
$24.50 – $25.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$25.09Published — price the day we called it
$27.60Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$27.94Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$27.04Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 44 days.

Peak price
$27.94
peak on February 11, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+11.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$27.04
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
44
Window
December 28, 2025 – March 28, 2026

The thesis — published December 28, 2025

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$27.60
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$24.50 – $25.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$25.09
published December 28, 2025
Confidence
61%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Pfizer looks like a safer stock that pays a high dividend and may bounce back because it has been sold too hard. News points to it being cheap and the roughly 6.8% dividend attracts income investors. But watch for healthcare headlines and legal or regulatory problems; keep expectations modest and define your risk level.

Primary drivers

  • High dividend around 6.8% attracts income buyers
  • Cheap stock framing can draw investors looking for value
  • Being oversold makes a short-term rebound likely
  • Healthcare stocks often fall less in market stress

How it played out

PFE: target reached in 44 days

Lyra published PFE at 25.09 on 2025-12-28 with a short-term thesis for 10% growth toward 27.60. The thesis pointed to a dividend around 6.8%, a cheap stock framing, an oversold setup, and the idea that healthcare stocks often fell less in market stress.

Inside the window, PFE reached 27.94 on 2026-02-11, above the 27.60 target. That took 44 days. The peak gain was 11.4%. By 2026-03-28, it ended at 27.04, below the peak but still above the publication price. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2026-02-03, Pfizer reported fourth-quarter sales of $17.56 billion and adjusted earnings of 66 cents a share. The company also reiterated its 2026 revenue guidance of $59.5 billion to $62.5 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.