New Gold Inc. (NGD) — closed signal from December 28, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 28, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 23 days.
The thesis — published December 28, 2025
This is a short-term, high-volatility trade tied to takeover news. Many investors are buying now, which pushed the stock up quickly and makes a pullback likely in the next 1-3 weeks. There's a shareholder vote on Jan. 27, 2026 that keeps speculation active. Use dips to enter and keep position sizes small.
Primary drivers
- Takeover talk and a Jan. 27, 2026 shareholder vote driving speculation
- Rises in gold and silver prices can boost profits quickly
- Large money flows into the stock can push prices higher fast
- Only buy on dips to limit risk from sudden reversals
How it played out
NGD: target reached in 23 days
Lyra published NGD at 9.33 on 2025-12-28 as a short-term, high-volatility trade with 20% expected growth. The thesis pointed to takeover talk, a Jan. 27, 2026 shareholder vote, gold and silver prices, large money flows, and buying only on dips because sudden reversals were part of the risk.
Inside the window, NGD reached a peak of 13.63 on 2026-01-26. That was a 46.1% gain, and it reached the 11.2 target in 23 days. By 2026-03-28, it ended at 12.16. The published thesis played out.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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