Track record · closed signal

Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) — closed signal from December 28, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 28, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

MU price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$284.79 Published $336.05 Target $357.22 Window close $471.34 Peak
$270.00 – $285.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$284.79Published — price the day we called it
$336.05Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$471.34Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$357.22Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 9 days.

Peak price
$471.34
peak on March 18, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+65.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$357.22
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
9
Window
December 28, 2025 – March 28, 2026

The thesis — published December 28, 2025

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$336.05
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$270.00 – $285.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$284.79
published December 28, 2025
Confidence
91%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Analysts see MU as a short-term trend trade: momentum is strong but the price has run up, so timing matters. Company sales increased 57% to $13.6B and guidance is higher, showing demand from AI infrastructure. Prefer buying during normal pullbacks instead of chasing new highs to lower risk.

Primary drivers

  • Rising memory demand from AI and data centers
  • Clear momentum and positive price trend noted by analysts
  • Industry-level buying can keep the stock moving up
  • Using pullbacks lowers the chance of buying after a big run

How it played out

MU: target reached in 9 days

Lyra published MU at $284.79 on 2025-12-28 as a short-term trade with expected growth of 18%. The thesis pointed to sales up 57% to $13.6B, higher guidance, demand from artificial intelligence infrastructure, strong momentum, industry-level buying, and a preference for normal pullbacks instead of chasing new highs.

Inside the window, MU reached the $336.05 target in 9 days. It later peaked at $471.34 on 2026-03-18, with a peak gain of 65.5%. By 2026-03-28, it ended at $357.22, still above the target. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2026-03-16, Micron announced high-volume production of HBM4 memory for Nvidia Vera Rubin, along with PCIe 6.0 data center SSDs and SOCAMM2 modules. During the same window, Investor's Business Daily reported Micron's fiscal Q2 2026 results and its raised fiscal Q3 outlook.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.