Track record · closed signal

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) — closed signal from December 25, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 25, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

GS price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$885.00 – $915.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$910.78Published — price the day we called it

$1,001.86Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$984.70Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$835.72Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price

$984.70

peak on January 16, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+8.1%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$835.72

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

December 25, 2025 – March 25, 2026

The thesis — published December 25, 2025

Predicted growth

+10%

over the measurement window

Target price

$1,001.86

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$885.00 – $915.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$910.78

published December 25, 2025

Confidence

83%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Goldman Sachs looks structurally strong among banks for a short-term hold. Analysts give it balanced scores and its price trend looks positive. News such as private-credit work and layoffs can make the stock wobble briefly, but those stories also show management is focused on risk, so buying small pullbacks makes sense.

Primary drivers

Less likely to be driven by headlines compared with peers
Recent price signals show upward momentum
Benefits when clients trade and markets pick up
News creates short dips that can be bought if trend stays intact

How it played out

GS: target was not reached after an early rise

Lyra published GS on 2025-12-25 at $910.78 for a short-term window ending 2026-03-25. The thesis expected 10% growth. It pointed to balanced analyst scores, a positive price trend, client trading and stronger markets, and the idea that brief dips from news could be bought if the trend stayed intact.

Inside the window, GS rose to $984.70 on 2026-01-16, a peak gain of 8.1%. That stayed below the $1001.86 target. It never got there. By 2026-03-25, the stock ended at $835.72. The thesis partially played out early, but missed the target and did not hold up through the full window.

What happened during the window

On 2026-01-15, Investors.com reported Goldman Sachs' fourth-quarter 2025 results, including earnings of $14.01 per share and revenue of $13.45 billion. It also reported that the Apple Card portfolio transfer affected platform solutions revenue. In January 2026, Business Insider reported that Goldman Sachs added seven leaders to its management committee from asset and wealth management.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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