Track record · closed signal

Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) — closed signal from December 25, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 25, 2026 — -9.9% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

UBER price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$78.00 – $82.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$81.15Published — price the day we called it

$95.76Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$88.24Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$73.08Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 48% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close

-9.9%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+8.7%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

-4.6%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$73.08

last close inside the window, ended March 25, 2026

Peak price

$88.24

peak on January 8, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published December 25, 2025

Predicted growth

+18%

over the measurement window

Target price

$95.76

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$78.00 – $82.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$81.15

published December 25, 2025

Confidence

84%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Uber looks like a quality stock that's been sold down and now has a clear story: robotaxi rides launched in Dubai through its app. That news helps move self-driving from idea to real service, which supports the stock. Technical signs hint at a rebound but the recent trend indicator is slightly negative, so buy in stages and wait for confirmation before adding more.

Primary drivers

Dubai robotaxi launch shifts self-driving from idea toward real service
Cleaner fundamental/tech alignment than peers reduces sudden weakness
Current price action suggests it's ready to try a rebound
Large platform scale can rapidly boost the stock if sentiment improves

How it played out

UBER: rebound started but the target was not reached

Lyra published UBER at $81.15 on December 25, 2025, with an expected 18% move. The thesis pointed to robotaxi rides in Dubai through Uber's app, cleaner fundamental and technical alignment than peers, a possible rebound in price action, and large platform scale if sentiment improved.

Inside the window, UBER rose to $88.24 on January 8, 2026, for a peak gain of 8.7%. It never reached the $95.76 target. By March 25, 2026, it ended at $73.08. The rebound part showed up briefly, but the full thesis did not play out.

What happened during the window

On February 4, 2026, Uber reported fourth-quarter 2025 results. Investor's Business Daily reported revenue of $14.37 billion, gross bookings of $54.14 billion, and a stock drop after the release. On March 19, 2026, Axios reported that Uber planned to invest up to $1.25 billion in Rivian for a robotaxi partnership.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All UBER signals