Range Resources Corporation (RRC) — closed signal from December 23, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 23, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 66 days.
The thesis — published December 23, 2025
The stock has been sold heavily and could bounce quickly, but recent negative analyst news from JPMorgan makes the near-term outlook uncertain. If overall sentiment about U.S. gas improves, the price could move back into the high-30s or low-40s. Because price swings can be large, keep position sizes small and use strict stop limits to protect capital.
Primary drivers
- Stock has been sold a lot and could rebound quickly
- Company reacts strongly to U.S. gas prices, so moves can be big
- Analyst downgrade can make the price swing more and delay recovery
- Clear entry range allows tight, controlled risk management
How it played out
RRC: target reached in 66 days
On December 23, 2025, Lyra published a short-term RRC thesis at $35.34. It expected 14% growth to $40.29. The thesis pointed to a heavily sold stock that could rebound quickly, large moves tied to U.S. gas prices, a downgrade that could delay recovery, and an entry range of $33.50 to $35.50 for controlled risk.
Inside the window, RRC reached the target in 66 days. It peaked at $46.19 on March 19, 2026, with a 30.7% gain. The window ended at $44.70. The thesis played out, and the move went beyond the published target.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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