Alphabet Inc. Class A (GOOGL) — closed signal from December 23, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 23, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.
The thesis — published December 23, 2025
Alphabet just reported a huge revenue milestone and is seen as a leader in AI, which is boosting investor interest. Price looks like it may be rebounding after a pullback, but some technical signals are still weak, so traders should wait for clearer buying activity before committing big money.
Primary drivers
- AI and cloud growth is driving investor interest and revenue potential
- Company hit a $100B quarterly revenue milestone, proving scale
- Price shows signs of bouncing after a pullback with more buyers appearing
- Staged buying lowers risk while waiting for clearer confirmation
How it played out
GOOGL: peak stayed below target
Lyra published GOOGL on 2025-12-23 at $313.85, looking for 12% growth to $351.51. The thesis pointed to artificial intelligence and cloud growth, a $100B quarterly revenue milestone, a possible rebound after a pullback, and staged buying while waiting for clearer confirmation.
Inside the window, the stock rose to $349 on 2026-02-03, a peak gain of 11.2%. It stayed below the $351.51 target and never reached it. By 2026-03-23, it ended at $302.06. The thesis mostly played out on direction and momentum, but it missed the target.
What happened during the window
On February 4, 2026, Alphabet reported fourth-quarter revenue of $113.83bn and earnings per share of $2.82, according to The Guardian. The same report said Alphabet forecast 2026 capital spending between $175bn and $185bn.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.