Track record · closed signal

Citigroup Inc. (C) — closed signal from December 23, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 23, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

C price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$114.00 – $119.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$119.15Published — price the day we called it

$135.83Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$125.16Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$111.64Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 36% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$125.16

peak on February 9, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+5%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$111.64

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

December 23, 2025 – March 23, 2026

The thesis — published December 23, 2025

Predicted growth

+14%

over the measurement window

Target price

$135.83

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$114.00 – $119.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$119.15

published December 23, 2025

Confidence

72%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Citigroup gives you exposure to big-bank stocks. Recent news eased regulatory and legal worries, which removes a cloud over the stock before Jan 14 earnings. The share price has been moving up, but it's a bit stretched short-term, so wait for a pullback or sideways trading before buying more.

Primary drivers

News reduced legal and regulatory uncertainty, making execution easier
Upcoming earnings could confirm improved results and lift the stock
Current upward price trend supports further gains after rest
A risk-on market mood can push investors into bank stocks

How it played out

C: target was not reached by March 23

Lyra published C on December 23, 2025 at 119.15 with expected growth of 14%. The thesis pointed to reduced legal and regulatory uncertainty, upcoming earnings, an upward price trend after rest, and a risk-on market mood that could support big-bank stocks.

Inside the December 23, 2025 to March 23, 2026 window, C peaked at 125.16 on February 9, a 5% gain. It stayed below the 135.83 target and never reached it. By the end of the window, it was 111.64. The thesis partially played out on the early rise, but it missed the target.

What happened during the window

On January 14, 2026, Citigroup reported fourth-quarter results. Reports said profit fell to 2.5 billion, while revenue rose to 19.9 billion. MarketWatch also reported that the stock turned lower after the results, tied to a rare earnings miss and a Russia-related loss.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All C signals