Track record · closed signal

Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) — closed signal from December 22, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 22, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

UBER price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$79.00 – $82.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$81.66Published — price the day we called it

$93.09Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$88.24Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$73.89Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 58% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$88.24

peak on January 8, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+8.1%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$73.89

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

December 22, 2025 – March 22, 2026

The thesis — published December 22, 2025

Predicted growth

+14%

over the measurement window

Target price

$93.09

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$79.00 – $82.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$81.66

published December 22, 2025

Confidence

64%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Price looks like it may bounce because one short-term measure shows the stock is very oversold and trading volume is high, but the larger trend measures are still negative so this is not a confirmed uptrend. Positive news about testing robotaxis with Baidu helps the story. Trade short-term and be ready to cut losses quickly if selling restarts.

Primary drivers

Robotaxi testing news can improve investor sentiment and narrative momentum
Very oversold readings make a short reflex rally more likely
Heavy trading volume indicates many sellers may have exhausted themselves
Keep strict stop rules because the broader trend is still negative

How it played out

UBER: target was not reached

Lyra published UBER at 81.66 on December 22, 2025, with an expected gain of 14%. The thesis looked for a short-term bounce. It pointed to very oversold readings, heavy trading volume, and robotaxi testing news with Baidu as possible support. It also warned that broader trend measures were still negative.

Inside the window, UBER rose to 88.24 on January 8, 2026, for a peak gain of 8.1%. The 93.09 target was not reached. It never got there. By March 22, 2026, the stock ended at 73.89. The thesis partly played out, because there was a bounce, but it missed the target and finished below the publication price.

What happened during the window

On February 4, 2026, Uber reported fourth-quarter results. MarketWatch said the stock fell after profit missed expectations, even though revenue and demand rose. On February 23, 2026, Uber launched Uber Autonomous Solutions, a support platform for autonomous vehicle partners.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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