Track record · closed signal

Alphabet Inc. Class C (GOOG) — closed signal from December 21, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 21, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

GOOG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$308.61 Published $351.82 Target $298.79 Window close $350.15 Peak
$295.00 – $312.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$308.61Published — price the day we called it
$351.82Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$350.15Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$298.79Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price
$350.15
peak on February 3, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+13.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$298.79
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
December 21, 2025 – March 21, 2026

The thesis — published December 21, 2025

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$351.82
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$295.00 – $312.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$308.61
published December 21, 2025
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Alphabet looks like it could bounce back: some price measures say it is unusually low while overall market feeling remains positive. A Wedbush price target increase to $350 gives a short-term reason for investors to reposition. But worries about AI spending and credit in the industry mean any rebound may be uneven, so buy gradually until momentum clearly improves.

Primary drivers

  • Analyst price target raise can change short-term investor behavior
  • Price measures suggest a tradable rebound opportunity
  • Strong cloud and AI products benefit from healthy AI spending
  • Buy in stages to limit risk while trend clarity forms

How it played out

GOOG: rebound came close, but the target was not reached

Lyra published GOOG at $308.61 on 2025-12-21 with 14% expected growth over a short-term window ending 2026-03-21. The thesis pointed to unusually low price measures, positive market feeling, a Wedbush price target increase to $350, strength in cloud and artificial intelligence products, and staged buying because the rebound could be uneven.

Inside the window, GOOG rose to a $350.15 peak on 2026-02-03, with a 13.5% peak gain. That stayed below the $351.82 target. It never got there. By 2026-03-21, the stock ended at $298.79. The thesis mostly played out, but it missed the published target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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