Track record · closed signal

Bank of America Corporation (BAC) — closed signal from December 21, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 21, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

BAC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$54.00 – $56.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$55.27Published — price the day we called it

$60.80Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$57.55Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$47.16Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 41% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$57.55

peak on January 5, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+4.1%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$47.16

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

December 21, 2025 – March 21, 2026

The thesis — published December 21, 2025

Predicted growth

+10%

over the measurement window

Target price

$60.80

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$54.00 – $56.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$55.27

published December 21, 2025

Confidence

70%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Bank of America should do well if interest rates move lower and money flows back into bank-focused funds. Analysts see steady upward momentum and lots of trading interest, but many investors are already bullish, so it's safer to wait for a modest pullback to buy. Expect a gradual rise over the next few months rather than a sudden jump.

Primary drivers

Lower rates and bank-focused fund inflows can lift the stock
Steady positive momentum helps a gradual price increase
Plenty of buyers and sellers make it easier to trade on pullbacks
Buying in a defined range lowers chance of a quick reversal

How it played out

BAC: the thesis stayed below target

Lyra published BAC at 55.27 on 2025-12-21 with a 10% expected gain and a 60.80 target. The thesis pointed to lower rates, possible bank-focused fund inflows, steady positive momentum, active trading interest, and a defined 54 to 56 entry range. It expected a gradual rise over the next few months.

Inside the window, BAC rose to a 57.55 peak on 2026-01-05, a 4.1% gain. That was still below the 60.80 target. It never reached the target. By 2026-03-21, it ended at 47.16. The thesis partially played out early, then missed by the end.

What happened during the window

On 2026-01-14, Bank of America reported fourth-quarter results, including adjusted earnings of 98 cents a share and revenue of $28.4 billion. On 2026-03-11, Reuters reported that Bank of America hired four senior technology bankers.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All BAC signals