Track record · closed signal

Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) — closed signal from December 20, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 20, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

UBER price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$79.31 Published $93.59 Target $73.89 Window close $88.24 Peak
$77.00 – $80.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$79.31Published — price the day we called it
$93.59Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$88.24Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$73.89Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 63% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$88.24
peak on January 8, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+11.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$73.89
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
December 20, 2025 – March 20, 2026

The thesis — published December 20, 2025

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$93.59
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$77.00 – $80.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$79.31
published December 20, 2025
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Shares look very beaten down and could bounce back quickly, but the overall price trend is still downward. Legal attention around self-driving plans adds uncertainty. Some analysts think fair value is around $112, so bargain hunters might buy small amounts if headlines calm. Use staged buys and strict risk limits for a few months.

Primary drivers

  • Shares look cheap vs a fair value estimate, which can attract buyers
  • Price is very depressed, creating a chance for a quick rebound
  • Legal and regulatory news can cause sharp price swings
  • Large scale and operations give it an edge over smaller self-driving firms

How it played out

UBER: rebound fell short of the target

Lyra published UBER at 79.31 on 2025-12-20 with an 18% expected gain over the short-term window. The thesis pointed to shares that looked cheap versus a fair value estimate, a very depressed price, possible sharp moves from legal and regulatory news, and Uber's scale and operations in self-driving markets.

The stock rose early, peaking at 88.24 on 2026-01-08 for an 11.3% gain. That was below the 93.59 target, so it never got there. By 2026-03-20 it ended at 73.89. The thesis partially played out: the rebound happened, but it faded and missed the target.

What happened during the window

On February 4, 2026, Uber reported fourth-quarter 2025 results; MarketWatch said profit missed expectations while revenue and gross bookings grew. On February 23, 2026, Uber said it planned to acquire SpotHero, with terms undisclosed and closing expected in the first half of 2026.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All UBER signals