Track record · closed signal

Alphabet Inc. (Class C) (GOOG) — closed signal from December 20, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 20, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

GOOG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$308.61 Published $345.64 Target $298.79 Window close $350.15 Peak
$300.00 – $309.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$308.61Published — price the day we called it
$345.64Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$350.15Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$298.79Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 45 days.

Peak price
$350.15
peak on February 3, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+13.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$298.79
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
45
Window
December 20, 2025 – March 20, 2026

The thesis — published December 20, 2025

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$345.64
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$300.00 – $309.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$308.61
published December 20, 2025
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Alphabet could see a short-term rebound over the next 0-3 months. Its price looks beaten down but more buyers are starting to return, so any rise needs confirmation. Cloud sales grew 34% year over year-this fuels demand for AI and cloud services-but new local opposition and higher energy costs for data centers could slow expansion and cause headlines that stall a rally.

Primary drivers

  • Strong Google Cloud sales (34% growth) support AI demand
  • Price looks oversold but more buyers are coming back
  • Local and political hurdles slow data-center growth
  • Big-company liquidity can bring buyers into dips

How it played out

GOOG: target reached in 45 days

Lyra published GOOG at 308.61 on 2025-12-20 with a short-term thesis for 12% expected growth. The thesis pointed to Google Cloud sales growth of 34%, a price that looked oversold, returning buyers, possible data-center hurdles, energy costs, and big-company liquidity supporting dips.

Inside the window, GOOG reached the 345.64 target in 45 days. It peaked at 350.15 on 2026-02-03, with a 13.5% peak gain. By 2026-03-20 it ended at 298.79. The thesis played out on the target test, even though the final window price was below publication price.

What happened during the window

On 2025-12-23, Alphabet announced a 4.75 billion dollar deal to acquire Intersect Power, tied to data-center energy needs. On 2026-02-04, Alphabet reported Q4 2025 results, including 113.83 billion dollars in revenue and Google Cloud revenue of 17.66 billion dollars.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All GOOG signals