Track record · closed signal

Silvercorp Metals Inc. (SVM) — closed signal from December 19, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 19, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

SVM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$8.68 Published $11.28 Target $9.48 Window close $14.00 Peak
$8.25 – $8.85Entry zone — fair-value band
$8.68Published — price the day we called it
$11.28Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$14.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$9.48Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 28 days.

Peak price
$14.00
peak on January 26, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+61.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$9.48
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
28
Window
December 19, 2025 – March 19, 2026

The thesis — published December 19, 2025

Predicted growth
+30%
over the measurement window
Target price
$11.28
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$8.25 – $8.85
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$8.68
published December 19, 2025
Confidence
64%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

SVM is a short-term way to bet on rising silver prices. Recent news noted silver topping $65/oz and SVM getting high quant rankings, which can bring extra buying. If silver stays strong, SVM can jump higher, but small miners move quickly both up and down. Treat this as a tactical trade, not a long-term core holding.

Primary drivers

  • Silver rally is the main driver for miner gains
  • Quant-style attention can bring extra buying into SVM
  • Small-cap nature can make gains larger in a rising tape
  • Commodity swings and low liquidity can cause big losses

How it played out

SVM: target reached in 28 days

Lyra published SVM at $8.68 on 2025-12-19 as a short-term silver miner trade with expected growth of 30%. The thesis pointed to rising silver prices, quant-style attention, and the small-cap setup as possible support. It also warned that commodity swings and low liquidity could cut both ways.

Inside the window, SVM reached the $11.28 target in 28 days. The peak was $14 on 2026-01-26, with a peak gain of 61.3%. By 2026-03-19, it had fallen back to $9.48, but the target had already been reached. The published thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.