Track record · closed signal

UP Fintech Holding Limited (TIGR) — closed signal from December 19, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 19, 2026 — -24.4% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

TIGR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$8.70 – $9.30Entry zone — fair-value band

$9.03Published — price the day we called it

$13.09Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$11.35Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$6.83Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 57% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close

-24.4%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+25.7%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

-3.1%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$6.83

last close inside the window, ended March 19, 2026

Peak price

$11.35

peak on January 6, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published December 19, 2025

Predicted growth

+45%

over the measurement window

Target price

$13.09

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$8.70 – $9.30

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$9.03

published December 19, 2025

Confidence

89%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

TIGR is an online brokerage that just reported its best quarter ever: $175.2M in revenue and profitable results. The company also saw customers with deposits grow 18.5%, which helps revenue rise faster than costs. Momentum in the stock has shifted positively, offering a short-term trading opportunity, but investors should size positions carefully because China and fintech news can make the stock swing a lot.

Primary drivers

Record quarter and profits make the stock more likely to be valued higher
More customers with deposits help revenue grow faster than costs
Recent positive price action raises the chance of follow-through weeks
Stock can swing more when markets favor risky assets in the short term

How it played out

TIGR: target was not reached

Lyra published TIGR at $9.03 on December 19, 2025, with 45% expected growth and a $13.09 target for the short-term window. The thesis pointed to $175.2M in revenue, profitable results, 18.5% growth in customers with deposits, recent positive price action, and the chance that risk appetite could help the stock.

Inside the window, TIGR rose to $11.35 on January 6, 2026. That was a 25.7% peak gain, but it stayed below the $13.09 target. It ended the window at $6.83. The thesis partly played out early, then failed by the close.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All TIGR signals