Track record · closed signal

First Majestic Silver Corp. (AG) — closed signal from December 19, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 19, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

AG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$16.82 Published $23.55 Target $18.95 Window close $32.04 Peak
$16.10 – $17.10Entry zone — fair-value band
$16.82Published — price the day we called it
$23.55Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$32.04Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$18.95Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 34 days.

Peak price
$32.04
peak on February 27, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+90.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$18.95
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
34
Window
December 19, 2025 – March 19, 2026

The thesis — published December 19, 2025

Predicted growth
+40%
over the measurement window
Target price
$23.55
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$16.10 – $17.10
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$16.82
published December 19, 2025
Confidence
88%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

AG is a short-term trade idea tied to a big rise in silver noted on 2025-12-19. Because silver moved above $65 per ounce, miners like First Majestic are getting bought and funds are shifting into the group. Many buyers are participating, so the move could continue, but if silver falls the stock could drop quickly-so prioritize buying on pullbacks.

Primary drivers

  • Silver rising above $65 is bringing money into miners
  • Stock tends to move more than silver, so gains can be bigger
  • Many buyers are involved, which supports the price move
  • High volatility means add in stages and take profits along the way

How it played out

AG: target reached in 34 days

Lyra published AG on 2025-12-19 at $16.82 as a short-term trade idea with expected growth of 40%. The thesis pointed to silver above $65 per ounce, money moving into miners, AG tending to move more than silver, broad buyer participation, and high volatility that called for staged buying and profit-taking.

Inside the window, AG reached the $23.55 target in 34 days. It later peaked at $32.04 on 2026-02-27, a 90.5% gain from the publication price. By 2026-03-19, it ended at $18.95. The thesis played out, then the move gave back a large part of the advance.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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