Lam Research Corp. (LRCX) — closed signal from December 18, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 18, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 18 days.
The thesis — published December 18, 2025
Lam Research could bounce near term because a major bank raised its price target to $200, which can change investor sentiment. A short-term indicator shows the stock is deeply oversold and trading volume is high, often a sign sellers are exhausted. Momentum overall is still down, so treat this as a short-term, staged rebound trade.
Primary drivers
- Price target increase to $200 gives investors a new valuation reference
- Deeply oversold signal can lead to a quick multi-week bounce
- AI-driven equipment demand supports the growth story
- Heavy volume in weakness hints sellers may be finished
How it played out
LRCX: target reached in 18 days
Lyra published LRCX at $165.62 on 2025-12-18, with a short-term thesis for 16% growth. The thesis pointed to a major bank raising its price target to $200, a deeply oversold signal, high trading volume, artificial intelligence equipment demand, and the chance of a staged rebound while broader momentum was still down.
Inside the window, the stock reached the $192.12 target in 18 days. It kept rising to a $256.68 peak on 2026-02-25, a 55% gain from publication. By 2026-03-18, it ended at $224.71. The published rebound thesis played out and then went further.
What happened during the window
On 2026-01-28, Lam Research reported fiscal second-quarter results, with adjusted earnings of $1.27 per share on revenue of $5.34 billion. It also guided to $1.35 per share on $5.7 billion in revenue for the current quarter.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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