Track record · closed signal

GE Aerospace (GE) — closed signal from December 18, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 18, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

GE price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$298.04 Published $327.47 Target $300.96 Window close $348.48 Peak
$289.34 – $299.32Entry zone — fair-value band
$298.04Published — price the day we called it
$327.47Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$348.48Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$300.96Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 18 days.

Peak price
$348.48
peak on February 25, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+16.9%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$300.96
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
18
Window
December 18, 2025 – March 18, 2026

The thesis — published December 18, 2025

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$327.47
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$289.34 – $299.32
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$298.04
published December 18, 2025
Confidence
64%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

GE gives exposure to aircraft engines and services and has positive market attention from the Singapore Airshow. However, the stock rose sharply in 2025, and some say that price already reflects big improvements, which could limit short-term gains. The stock is not in a deeply discounted state, so a cautious plan is to buy on dips and expect slow gains, not a quick surge.

Primary drivers

  • Strong backlog and services mean more predictable cash coming in
  • Airshow attention can keep investors focused on aerospace prospects
  • Big 2025 gain raises questions about whether the stock is already priced for improvement
  • Waiting for pullbacks reduces risk since the stock is not deeply discounted

How it played out

GE: target reached in 18 days

Lyra published GE Aerospace at $298.04 on 2025-12-18 with 10% expected growth. The thesis pointed to aircraft engines and services, strong backlog, more predictable cash from services, and attention from the Singapore Airshow. It also said the stock had already risen sharply in 2025, so gains might be slow rather than quick.

Inside the window, the stock reached the $327.47 target in 18 days. It later peaked at $348.48 on 2026-02-25, a 16.9% gain. By 2026-03-18, it ended at $300.96. The thesis played out on the measured target, even though the closing price gave back much of the move.

What happened during the window

On Jan. 22, 2026, MarketWatch reported that GE Aerospace posted fourth-quarter results and gave a 2026 outlook. On Mar. 9, 2026, Axios reported that GE Aerospace planned more than $160 million of investment across North Carolina as part of a broader U.S. plant investment plan.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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