First Majestic Silver Corp. (AG) — closed signal from December 17, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 17, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 34 days.
The thesis — published December 17, 2025
This is a commodity trade that benefits if silver prices rise. Recent news points to less silver overall in 2025 and production jumped about 96% compared to last year, so the company stands to gain more when prices move up. Lots more people are buying than usual, so expect big swings and favor buying dips rather than chasing runs.
Primary drivers
- Market story of a silver shortfall lifting prices
- Production sharply higher, so profit sensitivity to price rises
- Lots more people are buying than usual, suggesting momentum
- Warrant exercise news improves cash and market positioning
How it played out
AG: target reached in 34 days
Lyra published AG at $16.58 on 2025-12-17 with expected growth of 30%. The thesis pointed to a silver shortfall lifting prices, sharply higher production of about 96% compared to last year, unusual buying interest, and warrant exercise news that improved cash and market positioning.
Inside the window, AG reached the $21.55 target in 34 days. The stock later peaked at $32.04 on 2026-02-27, with a peak gain of 93.3%. It ended the window at $21.74. The thesis played out. The price reached the target, moved well past it, and still finished above the target.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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