Track record · closed signal

IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) — closed signal from December 16, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 16, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

IAG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$16.10 Published $18.03 Target $19.64 Window close $24.87 Peak
$15.70 – $16.30Entry zone — fair-value band
$16.10Published — price the day we called it
$18.03Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$24.87Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$19.64Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 27 days.

Peak price
$24.87
peak on March 2, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+54.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$19.64
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
27
Window
December 16, 2025 – March 16, 2026

The thesis — published December 16, 2025

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$18.03
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$15.70 – $16.30
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$16.10
published December 16, 2025
Confidence
64%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

IAG has two company deals expected to close around Dec 19 and Dec 22, which could make the stock reprice higher in the next few weeks if investors like the consolidation. But the data mix-up that shows other companies under the same ticker raises confusion and execution risk. Treat this as a short-term event trade: consider buying near support and decide again right after the closings.

Primary drivers

  • Upcoming deal closings (Dec 19 and Dec 22) could change valuation
  • Strong buyer interest and upward momentum support continuation
  • Expectations that combining assets will improve the story short term
  • Confusing ticker data increases risk of unexpected headlines

How it played out

IAG: target reached in 27 days

Lyra published IAG at 16.10 on 2025-12-16 as a short-term event trade with 12% expected growth. The thesis pointed to two company deal closings around Dec 19 and Dec 22, buyer interest, upward momentum, expectations that combining assets would improve the short-term story, and confusing ticker data as a risk.

Inside the window, the stock reached the 18.03 target in 27 days. It later peaked at 24.87 on 2026-03-02, with a 54.5% peak gain, and ended the window at 19.64. The thesis played out. It reached the target and stayed above it at the close.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.