Track record · closed signal

First Majestic Silver Corp. (AG) — closed signal from December 16, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 16, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

AG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$16.13 Published $19.03 Target $22.21 Window close $32.04 Peak
$15.00 – $16.20Entry zone — fair-value band
$16.13Published — price the day we called it
$19.03Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$32.04Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$22.21Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 27 days.

Peak price
$32.04
peak on February 27, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+98.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$22.21
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
27
Window
December 16, 2025 – March 16, 2026

The thesis — published December 16, 2025

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$19.03
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$15.00 – $16.20
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$16.13
published December 16, 2025
Confidence
65%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

This is a short-term, high-volatility trade tied to silver prices. Recent exploration wins and management updates have drawn heavy buying, which keeps the stock moving up now. Be aware it can drop fast if silver pulls back or investors question valuation. The suggested approach: buy on dips and take profits when the price spikes quickly.

Primary drivers

  • Exploration wins at Santa Elena strengthen the growth story
  • Stronger precious-metal prices can keep momentum going for weeks
  • High sensitivity to silver means bigger gains and bigger drops
  • Recent strong run raises valuation questions and pullback risk

How it played out

AG: target reached in 27 days

Lyra published AG at $16.13 on 2025-12-16 as a short-term, high-volatility silver trade. The expected growth was 18%, with a target of $19.03. The thesis pointed to Santa Elena exploration wins, stronger precious-metal prices, high sensitivity to silver, and the risk that a recent strong run could raise valuation questions.

Inside the window from 2025-12-16 to 2026-03-16, AG reached the target in 27 days. It later peaked at $32.04 on 2026-02-27, a 98.6% gain. It ended at $22.21. The thesis played out, and the move went well past the target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.