First Majestic Silver Corp. (AG) — closed signal from December 15, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 15, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 28 days.
The thesis — published December 15, 2025
This miner tends to follow silver prices and can move quickly when silver is rising. The company raised $350M through convertible notes that make more cash available but may add selling pressure later if holders convert. Miners are getting investor attention as silver hits highs, but the stock can be very volatile. Prefer buying on pullbacks or when volume clearly increases.
Primary drivers
- Rising silver prices attract investor money into miners
- $350M convertibles give cash but risk future selling
- Positive trend can continue if metals stay strong
- High volatility means small position sizes and strict rules
How it played out
AG: target reached in 28 days
Lyra published AG at 16.17 on 2025-12-15 with a short-term thesis for 22% growth. The thesis pointed to rising silver prices pulling investor money into miners, a $350M convertible note raise that added cash but carried future selling risk, continued metals strength, and high volatility that called for strict rules.
Inside the window, AG reached the 19.73 target in 28 days. It kept rising to a 32.04 peak on 2026-02-27, with a 98.1% peak gain. It ended the window at 22.56, still above the target. The published thesis played out.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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