Track record · closed signal

Silvercorp Metals Inc. (SVM) — closed signal from December 15, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 15, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

SVM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$8.70 Published $11.30 Target $10.80 Window close $14.00 Peak
$8.40 – $8.90Entry zone — fair-value band
$8.70Published — price the day we called it
$11.30Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$14.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$10.80Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 32 days.

Peak price
$14.00
peak on January 26, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+61%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$10.80
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
32
Window
December 15, 2025 – March 15, 2026

The thesis — published December 15, 2025

Predicted growth
+30%
over the measurement window
Target price
$11.30
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$8.40 – $8.90
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$8.70
published December 15, 2025
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

SVM moves mainly with silver prices and may get a short-term boost from index-related buying around 12/22. Recent coverage and a record silver price helped interest. There is strong buying volume, but market mood is more positive than company fundamentals, so keep position small and buy on dips.

Primary drivers

  • Record silver price drove more interest in miners
  • Index addition on 12/22 can trigger automatic fund buying
  • Strong recent buying volume supports continued interest
  • Sentiment is ahead of fundamentals; trade cautiously

How it played out

SVM: target reached in 32 days

Lyra published SVM at 8.70 on 2025-12-15 with a short-term thesis for 30% expected growth. The thesis pointed to record silver prices driving more interest in miners, an index addition on 12/22, strong recent buying volume, and sentiment that was ahead of fundamentals.

Inside the window, SVM reached the 11.30 target in 32 days. It peaked at 14.00 on 2026-01-26, a 61% gain, then ended the window at 10.80. The thesis played out. The final price was below the target, but the target had already been reached.

What happened during the window

On 2026-01-21, Mining Technology reported that Silvercorp had agreed to acquire a 70% interest in the Tulkubash and Kyzyltash gold projects in Kyrgyzstan through agreements with Chaarat Gold and the Kyrgyzstan National Investment Agency.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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