Track record · closed signal

NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE) — closed signal from December 13, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 13, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

NEE price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$81.65 Published $89.82 Target $92.78 Window close $95.84 Peak
$80.00 – $82.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$81.65Published — price the day we called it
$89.82Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$95.84Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$92.78Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 53 days.

Peak price
$95.84
peak on February 25, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+17.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$92.78
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
53
Window
December 13, 2025 – March 13, 2026

The thesis — published December 13, 2025

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$89.82
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$80.00 – $82.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$81.65
published December 13, 2025
Confidence
61%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

The stock looks like it's bounced from a low point and could keep rising short term, but there are clear risks because interest rates affect utilities and trend signals still point down. Positive news about AI-related grid needs is helping sentiment, yet the company's fundamentals lag that optimism. Treat this as a short-term staged rebound, not a lasting growth story.

Primary drivers

  • AI-related demand talk can attract buyers to utilities
  • Oversold condition creates a chance to bounce back
  • Utilities often hold up when markets get nervous
  • Interest rates and weak fundamentals can limit gains

How it played out

NEE: target reached in 53 days

Lyra published NEE at 81.65 on 2025-12-13 as a short-term rebound idea. The thesis expected 10% growth to 89.82. It pointed to artificial intelligence grid-demand talk, an oversold setup, defensive utility demand, and the risk that interest rates and weak fundamentals could limit gains.

Inside the window, the stock reached the target in 53 days. It kept rising to a 95.84 peak on 2026-02-25, with a 17.4% peak gain. By 2026-03-13, it ended at 92.78. The published thesis played out, and the move went beyond the stated target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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