Track record · closed signal

AT&T Inc. (T) — closed signal from December 13, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 13, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

T price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$24.58 Published $28.51 Target $27.72 Window close $29.30 Peak
$23.80 – $24.80Entry zone — fair-value band
$24.58Published — price the day we called it
$28.51Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$29.30Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$27.72Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 60 days.

Peak price
$29.30
peak on February 12, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+19.2%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$27.72
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
60
Window
December 13, 2025 – March 13, 2026

The thesis — published December 13, 2025

Predicted growth
+16%
over the measurement window
Target price
$28.51
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$23.80 – $24.80
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$24.58
published December 13, 2025
Confidence
69%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

This is a short-term trade idea based on a bounce from an oversold condition and heavy trading. Recent operational news - 288,000 net fiber adds and 270,000 Internet Air adds - shows growth in subscribers, supporting a bounce play even though the broader trend is not fully fixed. The plan is to scale in near support and quickly cut losses if the bounce fails.

Primary drivers

  • Subscriber growth in fiber and fixed wireless strengthens the business case
  • Recently oversold pricing increases chance of a short-term rebound
  • Heavy trading volume may show buyers stepping in at low prices
  • Reliable dividend yield can draw cautious investors during uncertainty

How it played out

T: target reached in 60 days

Lyra published T at $24.58 on 2025-12-13 as a short-term bounce setup. The thesis expected 16% growth and pointed to subscriber growth in fiber and fixed wireless, recently oversold pricing, heavy trading volume, and a reliable dividend yield as reasons a rebound could happen.

Inside the window, the stock reached the $28.51 target. It peaked at $29.30 on 2026-02-12, with a 19.2% peak gain, and reached the target in 60 days. It ended the window at $27.72. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2026-01-28, AT&T reported fourth-quarter results, including 283,000 fiber subscriber additions and 421,000 postpaid phone additions. On 2026-02-02, AT&T said it had completed its acquisition of Lumen's Mass Markets fiber business.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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