Track record · closed signal

The Coca-Cola Company (KO) — closed signal from December 13, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 13, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

KO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$70.52 Published $78.28 Target $77.34 Window close $82.00 Peak
$69.50 – $71.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$70.52Published — price the day we called it
$78.28Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$82.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$77.34Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 54 days.

Peak price
$82.00
peak on February 27, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+16.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$77.34
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
54
Window
December 13, 2025 – March 13, 2026

The thesis — published December 13, 2025

Predicted growth
+11%
over the measurement window
Target price
$78.28
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$69.50 – $71.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$70.52
published December 13, 2025
Confidence
76%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Coca-Cola looks like a safe buy for the next few months. Analysts see it as a top performer and recent high trading volume and upbeat sentiment can keep the price moving up slowly. The announced 2026 CEO change reduces one source of uncertainty. Because market feeling is stronger than the company's numbers, expect modest gains and steady buy support rather than a fast surge.

Primary drivers

  • CEO plan gives clearer leadership story into 2026
  • More trading activity and positive sentiment support the price
  • People still buy defensive consumer stocks in uncertain weeks
  • Low price swings make risk easier to manage

How it played out

KO: target reached in 54 days

Lyra published KO on 2025-12-13 at 70.52, with expected growth of 11% toward 78.28. The thesis pointed to a clearer 2026 CEO plan, more trading activity, positive sentiment, demand for defensive consumer stocks in uncertain weeks, and low price swings. It expected modest gains and steady buy support, not a fast surge.

Inside the window, KO rose to 82 on 2026-02-27. The peak gain was 16.3%, and the target was reached in 54 days. By 2026-03-13, it ended at 77.34. The thesis played out, even though the final price was back below the target.

What happened during the window

On Jan. 14, 2026, The Wall Street Journal reported that Coca-Cola planned leadership changes tied to Henrique Braun's CEO transition, including a new chief digital officer role. On Feb. 10, 2026, Cinco Días reported Coca-Cola's 2025 results, including 13.107 billion dollars in net profit and 47.941 billion dollars in net operating revenue.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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