Track record · closed signal

AT&T Inc. (T) — closed signal from December 11, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 11, 2026 — +10% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

T price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$24.00 – $25.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$24.70Published — price the day we called it

$28.89Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$29.30Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$27.16Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 63 days.

At window close

+10%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+18.6%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

-1.6%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$27.16

last close inside the window, ended March 11, 2026

Peak price

$29.30

peak on February 12, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published December 11, 2025

Predicted growth

+17%

over the measurement window

Target price

$28.89

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$24.00 – $25.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$24.70

published December 11, 2025

Confidence

61%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

AT&T looks like a value pick with a big dividend and a chance for a short bounce after a heavy selloff. Recent moves to buy spectrum and a small investment in AI tools help its long term position. But the company has a lot of debt and stiff competition, so upside in the next three months is likely limited.

Primary drivers

Screening shows a short-term oversold chance to rebound.
High dividend gives reliable income but debt limits upside.
FCC approval for a $1.02B spectrum buy boosts network value.
Venture investment in AI supports future service opportunities.

How it played out

T: target reached in 63 days

Lyra published T at 24.70 on 2025-12-11. The thesis expected 17% growth over a short-term window. It pointed to an oversold rebound chance, a high dividend, FCC approval for a $1.02B spectrum buy, and venture investment in artificial intelligence tools. It also said debt and competition likely limited upside over the next three months.

Inside the window, T reached a peak of 29.30 on 2026-02-12, above the 28.89 target. The peak gain was 18.6%, and the target was reached in 63 days. The stock ended the window at 27.16. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2026-01-28, AT&T reported fourth-quarter results, with revenue of $33.5 billion and adjusted earnings of $0.52 a share. On 2026-02-02, AT&T said it completed the acquisition of Lumen's Mass Markets fiber business for $5.75 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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