Track record · closed signal

Uniti Group Inc. (UNIT) — closed signal from December 11, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 11, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

UNIT price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$7.17 Published $8.24 Target $8.35 Window close $8.74 Peak
$6.50 – $7.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$7.17Published — price the day we called it
$8.24Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$8.74Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$8.35Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 33 days.

Peak price
$8.74
peak on March 10, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+22%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$8.35
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
33
Window
December 11, 2025 – March 11, 2026

The thesis — published December 11, 2025

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$8.24
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$6.50 – $7.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$7.17
published December 11, 2025
Confidence
65%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

UNIT is a fiber-focused REIT that has jumped sharply. Price action shows a strong short-term push and many buyers, which is good for momentum but raises the chance of a quick pullback if sentiment cools. Positive hiring and fiber-build news support growth and ESG credibility, but high debt and customer concentration mean prefer buying only on dips over the next three months.

Primary drivers

  • Above-average scores support long-term fiber demand.
  • Short-term price action looks stretched after a steep run.
  • Hiring awards and build milestones show execution and ESG progress.
  • High leverage and customer concentration raise risk; favor pullbacks.

How it played out

UNIT: target reached in 33 days

Lyra published UNIT at $7.17 on 2025-12-11 with 15% expected growth over a short-term window. The thesis pointed to fiber demand, stretched short-term price action after a steep run, hiring awards, build milestones, high leverage, and customer concentration. It favored pullbacks rather than chasing the move.

Inside the window, UNIT reached the $8.24 target in 33 days. The peak was $8.74 on 2026-03-10, with a 22% peak gain. It ended at $8.35 on 2026-03-11. The published thesis played out. Price rose enough to reach the target and stayed above it at the end.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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