Track record · closed signal

NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE) — closed signal from December 11, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 11, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

NEE price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$82.09 Published $92.76 Target $91.66 Window close $95.84 Peak
$80.00 – $83.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$82.09Published — price the day we called it
$92.76Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$95.84Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$91.66Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 63 days.

Peak price
$95.84
peak on February 25, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+16.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$91.66
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
63
Window
December 11, 2025 – March 11, 2026

The thesis — published December 11, 2025

Predicted growth
+13%
over the measurement window
Target price
$92.76
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$80.00 – $83.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$82.09
published December 11, 2025
Confidence
61%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

NextEra combines a stable, regulated utility business with fast-growing long-term renewable projects. Shares have swung a lot recently as investors rethink value and sensitivity to interest rates. Selling appears to be slowing and some analysts see it cheaper than peers despite forecasts of steady earnings growth and big planned investment, so modest near-term upside seems likely.

Primary drivers

  • High overall score and strong sentiment reflect belief in renewables' long-term growth.
  • Recent price action suggests selling pressure may be easing, offering a tactical rebound.
  • Company guidance shows steady earnings growth and large planned investment through 2032.
  • Valuation comparisons show a discount to peers but limit upside to mid-teens.

How it played out

NEE: target reached in 63 days

Lyra published NEE at $82.09 on 2025-12-11, with 13% expected growth and a $92.76 target. The thesis pointed to a regulated utility base, long-term renewable projects, easing selling pressure, steady earnings growth, planned investment through 2032, and a valuation discount to peers that kept the upside case in the mid-teens.

Inside the window, the stock reached the target in 63 days. It peaked at $95.84 on 2026-02-25, for a 16.7% peak gain. By 2026-03-11, it ended at $91.66, below the target but still above publication price. The thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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