Track record · closed signal

The Coca-Cola Company (KO) — closed signal from December 11, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 11, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

KO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$70.12 Published $78.53 Target $77.63 Window close $82.00 Peak
$68.00 – $71.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$70.12Published — price the day we called it
$78.53Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$82.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$77.63Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 56 days.

Peak price
$82.00
peak on February 27, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+16.9%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$77.63
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
56
Window
December 11, 2025 – March 11, 2026

The thesis — published December 11, 2025

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$78.53
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$68.00 – $71.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$70.12
published December 11, 2025
Confidence
60%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Coca-Cola is a stable, defensive company likely to rebound slowly over a few months. Recent price action looks like a short-term washout that often precedes a return toward normal levels in large, steady companies. The planned CEO change in 2026 and past strong sales under the current leader reduce uncertainty, so expect a gradual recovery from the high $60s as market volatility calms.

Primary drivers

  • Above-average composite score makes KO a conservative, lower-volatility holding.
  • Recent weak price action often leads to a short-term bounce in steady large companies.
  • CEO succession keeps strategy steady, lowering leadership uncertainty for investors.
  • Strong worldwide demand and dividends support total returns in the near term.

How it played out

KO: target reached in 56 days

Lyra published KO at $70.12 on 2025-12-11 with a short-term thesis for 12% growth. The thesis pointed to a stable defensive business, weak recent price action that could bounce, a planned CEO change in 2026, worldwide demand, and dividends as support for near-term returns.

Inside the window, KO reached the $78.53 target in 56 days. The stock peaked at $82 on 2026-02-27, with a 16.9% gain. It ended the window at $77.63. The thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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