Track record · closed signal

IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) — closed signal from December 11, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 11, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

IAG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$15.64 Published $18.77 Target $21.81 Window close $24.87 Peak
$15.00 – $16.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$15.64Published — price the day we called it
$18.77Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$24.87Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$21.81Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 40 days.

Peak price
$24.87
peak on March 2, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+59%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$21.81
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
40
Window
December 11, 2025 – March 11, 2026

The thesis — published December 11, 2025

Predicted growth
+20%
over the measurement window
Target price
$18.77
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$15.00 – $16.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$15.64
published December 11, 2025
Confidence
79%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

IAMGOLD is a gold miner that tends to do well when the gold price rises. Recently the company improved its balance sheet, paid off a big loan, approved a large share buyback and moved a deal forward, all of which reduce risk and could boost the stock. The chart shows an upward trend and signs that buying on weakness may be smarter than chasing sudden jumps.

Primary drivers

  • Gold prices rising plus IAMGOLD's operational leverage should lift profits.
  • Chart signs and recent price behavior suggest the uptrend is real and steady.
  • Paying off the final $130M loan lowers borrowing risk and interest costs.
  • Buying back about 10% of shares and the Northern Superior deal give clear near-term boosts.

How it played out

IAG: target reached in 40 days

Lyra published IAG at $15.64 on 2025-12-11 with expected growth of 20%. The thesis pointed to rising gold prices, operational leverage, an upward chart trend, repayment of the final $130M loan, a buyback of about 10% of shares and the Northern Superior deal.

Inside the window, IAG reached the $18.77 target in 40 days. The stock later peaked at $24.87 on 2026-03-02, with a peak gain of 59%. It ended the window at $21.81. The thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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