Track record · closed signal

PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) — closed signal from December 10, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 10, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

PEP price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$147.78 Published $162.56 Target $161.53 Window close $171.48 Peak
$144.00 – $148.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$147.78Published — price the day we called it
$162.56Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$171.48Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$161.53Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 55 days.

Peak price
$171.48
peak on February 12, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+16%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$161.53
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
55
Window
December 10, 2025 – March 10, 2026

The thesis — published December 10, 2025

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$162.56
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$144.00 – $148.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$147.78
published December 10, 2025
Confidence
60%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

PepsiCo is seen as a steady, defensive company after a tough year for everyday goods. Shares fell because some analysts doubt the company can grow sales while cutting costs, but other research still highlights PepsiCo, so investors are debating rather than abandoning it. Trading shows many shares changing hands, suggesting big investors are buying. Expect modest recovery in the next few months, driven by dividends and stable products rather than fast growth.

Primary drivers

  • Wide range of drinks and snacks gives steady cash in bad times.
  • Analysts keep the stock on their lists despite doubts about execution.
  • Heavy trading while prices fell suggests long-term investors are buying.
  • Dividend and defensive nature point to modest total returns.

How it played out

PEP: target reached in 55 days

Lyra published PEP at 147.78 on 2025-12-10 with expected growth of 10%. The thesis pointed to PepsiCo as a steady defensive company after a tough year for everyday goods. It cited its wide mix of drinks and snacks, continued analyst attention despite doubts, heavy trading while prices fell, and the dividend profile.

Inside the window, PEP reached 171.48 on 2026-02-12, above the 162.56 target. The target was reached in 55 days. The peak gain was 16%. By 2026-03-10, the stock ended at 161.53, below the target but still above the published price. The thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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