Track record · closed signal

Photronics, Inc. (PLAB) — closed signal from December 10, 2025

Near target Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 10, 2026 — -9.4% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

PLAB price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$34.00 – $37.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$37.64Published — price the day we called it

$46.67Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$45.40Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$34.10Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Near target

Came within reach: 86% of the predicted growth at its peak, just short of the target.

At window close

-9.4%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+20.6%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

-1.2%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$34.10

last close inside the window, ended March 10, 2026

Peak price

$45.40

peak on February 25, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published December 10, 2025

Predicted growth

+24%

over the measurement window

Target price

$46.67

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$34.00 – $37.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$37.64

published December 10, 2025

Confidence

64%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Photronics surprised with stronger-than-expected guidance and a solid quarter, which pushed the stock up about 15%. Profitability stayed strong even though sales dipped a bit last year, and many traders bought options betting on more upside. The share price ran up quickly and looks stretched, so this is a short-term momentum idea best entered after a pullback.

Primary drivers

Guidance on Dec 10 beat expectations and lifted the stock.
Q4 showed healthy profit margins despite slightly lower sales.
Heavy trading and active options point to speculative interest.
Demand tied to chip and display industry investment supports growth.

How it played out

PLAB: target was not reached by March 10

Lyra published PLAB on December 10, 2025 at $37.64 as a short-term momentum signal with 24% expected growth. The thesis pointed to stronger-than-expected guidance, healthy Q4 profit margins despite slightly lower sales, heavy trading and active options, and demand tied to chip and display industry investment. It also said the stock looked stretched and was best entered after a pullback.

Inside the window, PLAB rose to a peak of $45.40 on February 25, 2026, a 20.6% gain. That stayed below the $46.67 target. It never got there. By March 10, 2026, the stock ended at $34.10. The thesis partially played out, but missed the target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All PLAB signals