Track record · closed signal

Photronics, Inc. (PLAB) — closed signal from December 10, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 10, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

PLAB price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$37.64 Published $46.67 Target $34.10 Window close $45.40 Peak
$34.00 – $37.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$37.64Published — price the day we called it
$46.67Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$45.40Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$34.10Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price
$45.40
peak on February 25, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+20.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$34.10
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
December 10, 2025 – March 10, 2026

The thesis — published December 10, 2025

Predicted growth
+24%
over the measurement window
Target price
$46.67
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$34.00 – $37.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$37.64
published December 10, 2025
Confidence
64%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Photronics surprised with stronger-than-expected guidance and a solid quarter, which pushed the stock up about 15%. Profitability stayed strong even though sales dipped a bit last year, and many traders bought options betting on more upside. The share price ran up quickly and looks stretched, so this is a short-term momentum idea best entered after a pullback.

Primary drivers

  • Guidance on Dec 10 beat expectations and lifted the stock.
  • Q4 showed healthy profit margins despite slightly lower sales.
  • Heavy trading and active options point to speculative interest.
  • Demand tied to chip and display industry investment supports growth.

How it played out

PLAB: target was not reached by March 10

Lyra published PLAB on December 10, 2025 at $37.64 as a short-term momentum signal with 24% expected growth. The thesis pointed to stronger-than-expected guidance, healthy Q4 profit margins despite slightly lower sales, heavy trading and active options, and demand tied to chip and display industry investment. It also said the stock looked stretched and was best entered after a pullback.

Inside the window, PLAB rose to a peak of $45.40 on February 25, 2026, a 20.6% gain. That stayed below the $46.67 target. It never got there. By March 10, 2026, the stock ended at $34.10. The thesis partially played out, but missed the target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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