Track record · closed signal

The Coca-Cola Company (KO) — closed signal from December 9, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 9, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

KO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$70.49 Published $77.53 Target $77.80 Window close $82.00 Peak
$68.00 – $71.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$70.49Published — price the day we called it
$77.53Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$82.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$77.80Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 57 days.

Peak price
$82.00
peak on February 27, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+16.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$77.80
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
57
Window
December 9, 2025 – March 9, 2026

The thesis — published December 9, 2025

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$77.53
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$68.00 – $71.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$70.49
published December 9, 2025
Confidence
61%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Coca-Cola is a steady, defensive company whose stock looks like it has been sold too much recently and is now settling. That settling often leads to a gentle rebound in well-known consumer names. Growth over the next three months is likely modest: steady profits and a reliable dividend should lift the share price, but high valuation limits big gains.

Primary drivers

  • Recent heavy selling suggests the stock may slowly rebound in a stable company.
  • Strong global brands create steady sales and regular dividend income.
  • Analyst note says new products help but the stock trades a bit rich versus peers.
  • Investors moving to safety can push modest gains, though upside is limited.

How it played out

KO: target reached in 57 days

Lyra published KO at 70.49 on 2025-12-09 with a short-term view for 10% growth. The thesis pointed to a steady defensive business, recent heavy selling, strong global brands, regular dividend income, new products, and some safety-seeking demand. It also said valuation limited bigger gains.

Inside the window, KO reached the 77.53 target in 57 days. The stock peaked at 82 on 2026-02-27, with a peak gain of 16.3%. It ended the window at 77.8. The published thesis played out, and the move went beyond the expected 10% growth.

What happened during the window

On 2026-02-04, Coca-Cola announced Coca-Cola Cherry Float and the return of Diet Coke Cherry as a permanent offering in the U.S. and Canada. On 2026-02-10, the company reported 2025 results, including 2025 net income of 13.107 billion dollars and fourth-quarter earnings of 2.271 billion dollars.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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