Track record · closed signal

The Procter & Gamble Company (PG) — closed signal from December 9, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 9, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

PG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$140.18 Published $154.19 Target $155.22 Window close $167.25 Peak
$136.00 – $142.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$140.18Published — price the day we called it
$154.19Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$167.25Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$155.22Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 56 days.

Peak price
$167.25
peak on February 27, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+19.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$155.22
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
56
Window
December 9, 2025 – March 9, 2026

The thesis — published December 9, 2025

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$154.19
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$136.00 – $142.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$140.18
published December 9, 2025
Confidence
60%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

P&G is a dependable company with well-known household brands. After a recent price pullback, the stock looks temporarily beaten down and may bounce back in the next few months. The Dec 9 Febreze cabin air filter licensing deal shows the company still finds ways to sell new products. Growth is modest and valuation is full, so expect modest gains rather than big rallies.

Primary drivers

  • Stock looks temporarily beaten down and may be due for a bounce.
  • Large set of trusted consumer brands supports steady profits and dividends.
  • New Febreze licensing deal shows product growth and extra revenue streams.
  • Price is not cheap, so gains are likely modest and steady, not huge.

How it played out

PG: target reached in 56 days

Lyra published PG at 140.18 on 2025-12-09, with 10% expected growth and a 154.19 target through 2026-03-09. The thesis pointed to a stock that looked temporarily beaten down, trusted consumer brands, steady profits and dividends, and a Febreze cabin air filter licensing deal. It also said valuation was full, so the expected gain was modest.

Inside the window, PG reached the target in 56 days. The peak was 167.25 on 2026-02-27, above the 154.19 target, with a 19.3% peak gain. It ended at 155.22. The thesis played out and exceeded the published target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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