Track record · closed signal

GE Aerospace (GE) (GE) — closed signal from December 9, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 9, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

GE price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$289.02 Published $352.20 Target $321.93 Window close $348.48 Peak
$274.37 – $289.34Entry zone — fair-value band
$289.02Published — price the day we called it
$352.20Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$348.48Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$321.93Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price
$348.48
peak on February 25, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+20.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$321.93
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
December 9, 2025 – March 9, 2026

The thesis — published December 9, 2025

Predicted growth
+22%
over the measurement window
Target price
$352.20
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$274.37 – $289.34
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$289.02
published December 9, 2025
Confidence
75%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

GE is refocusing on aircraft engines and energy infrastructure. Recent price behavior looks like a short-term pullback inside a longer rising trend, not a full reversal. Investors are watching a Dec 9 Vernova event where management will explain demand for data center power and grid upgrades. Clear, confident guidance there could restore sentiment and push shares back toward prior highs over a few months.

Primary drivers

  • Short-term dip likely inside a longer-term uptrend for aerospace and power.
  • Balanced scores point to a solid but not overheated industrial case.
  • Dec 9 event should clarify demand for data center power and grids.
  • Aviation orders and grid backlogs support medium-term revenue.

How it played out

GE: strong rise, but target was not reached

Lyra published GE at 289.02 on 2025-12-09 with a 22% expected gain and a 352.2 target. The thesis pointed to a short-term dip inside a longer rising trend, balanced industrial scores, the Dec 9 event on data center power and grid demand, and aviation orders plus grid backlogs.

Inside the window, GE rose to 348.48 on 2026-02-25. That was a 20.6% peak gain, but it stayed below the target. The stock ended the window at 321.93 on 2026-03-09. The thesis mostly played out on direction and scale, but it missed the published target. It never got there.

What happened during the window

On 2026-01-22, GE Aerospace reported fourth-quarter results, including net profit of $2.85 billion and revenue of $12.72 billion, according to MarketWatch. On 2026-03-09, Axios reported that GE Aerospace planned more than $160 million of investment across North Carolina as part of a broader $1 billion U.S. plant investment plan.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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