Track record · closed signal

Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE) — closed signal from December 9, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 9, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

CDE price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$15.85 Published $21.40 Target $22.64 Window close $27.74 Peak
$15.00 – $16.25Entry zone — fair-value band
$15.85Published — price the day we called it
$21.40Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$27.74Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$22.64Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 34 days.

Peak price
$27.74
peak on January 26, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+75%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$22.64
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
34
Window
December 9, 2025 – March 9, 2026

The thesis — published December 9, 2025

Predicted growth
+35%
over the measurement window
Target price
$21.40
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$15.00 – $16.25
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$15.85
published December 9, 2025
Confidence
93%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Coeur is a high-risk, high-reward way to own silver and gold. Several measures of company health, market momentum and investor mood all line up strongly. Recent drill results at Palmarejo showed very rich silver, which raises the value of the mine. Merger talk adds noise but also shows buyers see value.

Primary drivers

  • Strong combined scores and market momentum point to improving performance for miners.
  • Dec 8 Palmarejo drill results showed very high silver grades, raising asset value.
  • Valuation screens and ETF flows are helping money move into higher beta miners.
  • New Gold merger review brings legal risk but also signals strategic buyer interest.

How it played out

CDE: target reached in 34 days

Lyra published CDE at $15.85 on 2025-12-09 with a short-term thesis for 35% growth. The thesis pointed to strong combined scores and market momentum, Dec 8 Palmarejo drill results with very high silver grades, valuation screens and ETF flows into higher beta miners, and a New Gold merger review that added legal risk while signaling buyer interest.

Inside the window from 2025-12-09 to 2026-03-09, the stock reached the $21.40 target in 34 days. It peaked at $27.74 on 2026-01-26, a 75% gain, and ended at $22.64. The thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.