Track record · closed signal

Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM) — closed signal from July 16, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 14, 2025 — +5.4% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

QCOM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$152.65 Published $184.23 Target $160.92 Window close $173.55 Peak
$146.80 – $151.70Entry zone — fair-value band
$152.65Published — price the day we called it
$184.23Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$173.55Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$160.92Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 62% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close
+5.4%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+13.7%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+6.4%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$160.92
last close inside the window, ended October 14, 2025
Peak price
$173.55
peak on September 24, 2025 — not a realized return
Days to target
—

The thesis — published July 16, 2025

Predicted growth
+22%
over the measurement window
Target price
$184.23
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$146.80 – $151.70
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$152.65
published July 16, 2025
Confidence
80%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Qualcomm’s share price has fallen 18% since May, a drop that often comes right before a bounce when optimism is still strong. Its long court fight with Apple is finally over, removing a big worry. New Snapdragon X Elite laptops launch later this year, opening fresh PC revenue. Shares cost only 13 times next year’s profits, near decade lows, and option traders now lean bullish. A move back to $185 within three months looks realistic.

Primary drivers

  • Sharp slide plus rising buy volume suggest the worst selling is done.
  • New PC chips and $30B in auto orders broaden Qualcomm’s customer reach.
  • Stock at 13× earnings and 2.4% yield offers low price and small income boost.
  • Positive tech mood and option bets point upward, adding fuel for a rebound.

How it played out

QCOM: target was not reached

Lyra published QCOM on July 16, 2025 at $152.65. The thesis expected 22% growth within three months, with a move back to $185 described as realistic. It pointed to the earlier 18% slide, rising buy volume, the end of the Apple court fight, Snapdragon X Elite laptops, $30B in auto orders, a 13 times earnings valuation, a 2.4% yield, and bullish option positioning.

Inside the window, QCOM rose, but it did not reach the target. The peak was $173.55 on September 24, a 13.7% gain. It never got there. By October 14, the stock ended at $160.92. The thesis partially played out.

What happened during the window

On July 30, 2025, Qualcomm reported fiscal third-quarter revenue of $10.4B. On September 24, 2025, Qualcomm announced the Snapdragon 8 Elite Gen 5 for flagship Android devices.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All QCOM signals