Track record · closed signal

PepsiCo (PEP) — closed signal from December 8, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 8, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

PEP price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$145.89 Published $159.02 Target $159.43 Window close $171.48 Peak
$144.00 – $145.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$145.89Published — price the day we called it
$159.02Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$171.48Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$159.43Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 57 days.

Peak price
$171.48
peak on February 12, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+17.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$159.43
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
57
Window
December 8, 2025 – March 8, 2026

The thesis — published December 8, 2025

Predicted growth
+9%
over the measurement window
Target price
$159.02
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$144.00 – $145.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$145.89
published December 8, 2025
Confidence
63%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

PepsiCo is a stable, well-known food and drink company that investors buy when they want steady income and lower risk. Analysts still like it even though short-term growth is slowing. Because many investors prefer reliable dividends, we expect buying interest to return and push the stock up modestly, but large gains are unlikely given the company's mature size.

Primary drivers

  • Large, diverse snack and beverage business selling worldwide
  • Recent price weakness after sector pressure makes it more attractive
  • Still recommended by analysts as a steady consumer company
  • Dividend and quality reputation should draw income-focused buyers

How it played out

PEP: target reached in 57 days

Lyra published PEP at $145.89 on 2025-12-08 with a short-term expectation of 9% growth. The thesis pointed to PepsiCo's large snack and beverage business, recent price weakness after sector pressure, analyst support for a steady consumer company, and dividend appeal for income-focused buyers.

Inside the window from 2025-12-08 to 2026-03-08, PEP reached the $159.02 target in 57 days. The stock peaked at $171.48 on 2026-02-12, a 17.5% gain, and ended at $159.43. The thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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