Track record · closed signal

The Coca-Cola Company (KO) — closed signal from December 8, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 8, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

KO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$70.02 Published $77.02 Target $77.04 Window close $82.00 Peak
$69.50 – $70.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$70.02Published — price the day we called it
$77.02Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$82.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$77.04Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 57 days.

Peak price
$82.00
peak on February 27, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+17.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$77.04
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
57
Window
December 8, 2025 – March 8, 2026

The thesis — published December 8, 2025

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$77.02
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$69.50 – $70.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$70.02
published December 8, 2025
Confidence
63%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Coca-Cola is a steady company that pays reliable dividends. After sector weakness the stock has fallen enough that it looks oversold, and work on its related bottling business suggests extra asset value that could lift sentiment. During market swings, investors often move into stable consumer names; we expect a small rebound over the next few months.

Primary drivers

  • Worldwide beverage brand with steady sales and dependable dividends
  • Recent price weakness makes a short-term bounce more likely
  • Related bottlers may be worth more than investors expect
  • Seen as a safe choice when markets get rocky

How it played out

KO: target reached in 57 days

Lyra published KO at $70.02 on 2025-12-08 with a short-term rebound thesis. It expected 10% growth to $77.02. The thesis pointed to Coca-Cola's worldwide beverage brand, steady sales, dependable dividends, recent price weakness, possible value in related bottlers, and demand for stable consumer names when markets got rocky.

Inside the window, KO reached the target in 57 days. The stock peaked at $82 on 2026-02-27, above the $77.02 target, with a 17.1% peak gain. It ended the window at $77.04. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2026-02-10, Coca-Cola reported fourth-quarter results. MarketWatch reported that profit beat expectations, while revenue was $11.82 billion and missed the $12.05 billion estimate. The same article said KO fell 2% that morning after the report.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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