Track record · closed signal

General Electric (GE) — closed signal from December 8, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 8, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

GE price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$286.28 Published $328.85 Target $323.11 Window close $348.48 Peak
$279.36 – $284.35Entry zone — fair-value band
$286.28Published — price the day we called it
$328.85Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$348.48Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$323.11Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 28 days.

Peak price
$348.48
peak on February 25, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+21.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$323.11
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
28
Window
December 8, 2025 – March 8, 2026

The thesis — published December 8, 2025

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$328.85
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$279.36 – $284.35
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$286.28
published December 8, 2025
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

GE makes engines and power equipment and is seeing more demand for power projects, partly from data centers using AI. The company reported an 18 percent increase in its power backlog to about $84 billion. The stock looks weak mainly because of short-term sentiment, not business problems, and GE pays a steady dividend. If trading patterns normalize, the stock could bounce toward recent highs.

Primary drivers

  • Bigger backlog of power orders as data center demand rises
  • Shares have been weak recently, which can lead to a rebound
  • Diversified aerospace and energy businesses with a steady dividend
  • Recent company updates show continued order growth despite lower prices

How it played out

GE: target reached in 28 days

Lyra published GE on 2025-12-08 at $286.28 with expected growth of 15 percent. The thesis pointed to engine and power equipment demand, power projects tied partly to data centers, an 18 percent rise in power backlog to about $84 billion, weak short-term sentiment, a steady dividend, and continued order growth despite lower prices.

Inside the window, GE reached the $328.85 target in 28 days. The stock later peaked at $348.48 on 2026-02-25, a 21.7 percent gain. It ended the window at $323.11, below the target but above the publication price. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2026-01-22, MarketWatch reported that GE Aerospace posted fourth-quarter net profit of $2.85 billion, adjusted earnings per share of $1.57, revenue of $12.72 billion, and total orders of $27 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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