Track record · closed signal

Alphabet Inc. Class A (GOOGL) — closed signal from December 7, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 7, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

GOOGL price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$321.27 Published $382.31 Target $298.52 Window close $349.00 Peak
$315.00 – $325.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$321.27Published — price the day we called it
$382.31Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$349.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$298.52Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 45% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$349.00
peak on February 3, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+8.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$298.52
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
December 7, 2025 – March 7, 2026

The thesis — published December 7, 2025

Predicted growth
+19%
over the measurement window
Target price
$382.31
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$315.00 – $325.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$321.27
published December 7, 2025
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Alphabet is a big, stable tech company that benefits from search, YouTube, advertising, cloud services and growing AI infrastructure. A reported deal where Apple pays about $1 billion a year to use Gemini for Siri creates a steady new revenue stream. Market excitement is faster than the underlying results, but steady cash generation and a clear upward trend make buying small pullbacks reasonable for potential gains over three months.

Primary drivers

  • Apple Gemini deal adds steady, high-margin revenue and expands mobile AI reach.
  • Search, YouTube and cloud together provide steady sales and cashflow.
  • Healthy chart patterns and strong trading activity point to a steady uptrend.
  • Money moving away from OpenAI-linked names has helped Alphabet-led groups in 2025.

How it played out

GOOGL: thesis rose early but missed the target

Lyra published GOOGL on 2025-12-07 at $321.27. The thesis expected 19% growth and pointed to search, YouTube, advertising, cloud services, artificial intelligence infrastructure, a reported Apple Gemini deal, steady cash generation, and an upward trend in trading.

Inside the window, GOOGL peaked at $349 on 2026-02-03, for an 8.6% gain. It stayed below the $382.31 target. It ended the window at $298.52 on 2026-03-07. The thesis only partly played out.

What happened during the window

On 2026-02-04, Alphabet reported Q4 2025 revenue of $113.83 billion and said Google Cloud revenue was $17.66 billion. The Verge also reported that Alphabet's annual revenue topped $400 billion for the first time.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All GOOGL signals